<![CDATA[Five and a Fade with Jeremy Durham]]>https://www.jeremy-durham.comhttps://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jrC1!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6bd462b3-15ed-40f0-abe6-24aba53260df_512x512.pngFive and a Fade with Jeremy Durhamhttps://www.jeremy-durham.comSubstackWed, 28 Oct 2026 07:26:21 GMT<![CDATA[The Five and a Fade record: every result of 2026]]>https://www.jeremy-durham.com/p/the-five-and-a-fade-record-everyhttps://www.jeremy-durham.com/p/the-five-and-a-fade-record-everySun, 25 Oct 2026 12:16:07 GMTEvery pick goes on the board, and every result stays there. That’s the deal with Five and a Fade. This page is the running scoreboard for 2026, updated every week. The most detailed version, game by game, lives at fiveandafade.com/record.

Where I stand (through Oct. 24)

  • College: 9-7-1 (Five and a Fade college picks plus the Vols against the spread)

  • NFL: 2-4 (Week 7 grading Sunday night)

  • Vols against the spread: 3-2

  • Baseball playoffs: 1-1

Vols against the spread

  • Texas at Tennessee: Tennessee +4.5. Win (Texas 20-17)

  • Auburn at Tennessee: Tennessee -7.5. Win (24-14)

  • Tennessee at Arkansas: Tennessee -13.5. Loss (24-17)

  • Alabama at Tennessee: Tennessee +7.5. Win (26-10)

  • Tennessee at South Carolina: Tennessee +2.5. Loss (South Carolina 27-24). Half a point. It counts.

College, week by week

  • Oct. 17: 4-2. BYU over No. 2 Notre Dame, Auburn over No. 1 Georgia, Kentucky at Oklahoma and Arkansas at Vanderbilt all won outright. Misses: Mississippi State and Indiana.

  • Oct. 24: 2-3-1. Kentucky -11.5 and Oklahoma -3.5 won. Michigan +7 pushed (Indiana 13-6 in overtime). Houston +6.5, Texas Tech -10.5 and the fade, Auburn +7.5 vs. LSU, lost.

NFL, week by week

  • Week 6: 2-4. Broncos and Steelers paid. The Titans under, the Jaguars, the Giants and the fade (Falcons over the Bears) didn’t.

  • Week 7: pending. Titans +1.5, 49ers -3, Chiefs +2.5, Vikings -6.5, Broncos -4.5. Fade: Ravens +1.5 over the Bengals.

Baseball

  • NLDS: Dodgers in four (+270). Win.

  • NLCS: Dodgers in six. Loss. The Brewers swept.

New picks every week in the Friday email. Subscribe and hold me to it.

For entertainment. Lines are as of the day each column ran.

]]><![CDATA[We smoked Bama. Now the trap game in Columbia.]]>https://www.jeremy-durham.com/p/we-smoked-bama-now-the-trap-gamehttps://www.jeremy-durham.com/p/we-smoked-bama-now-the-trap-gameFri, 23 Oct 2026 16:17:37 GMTWe went into Bama week nervous and came out of it hoarse (the neighbors have filed a formal complaint). Here’s everything we wrote this week: the Bama postmortem, the college Five and a Fade and, new this week, the NFL picks. Plus where we’re putting our money for South Carolina.

The Bama postmortem

Everybody’s talking about the defense and DeSean Bishop. They should be. Those two things just told you what this team is.

Read the full column at TriStar Daily

Five and a Fade, College Edition

First, the receipts. Last week I went 4-2. BYU beat No. 2 Notre Dame outright. Auburn beat No. 1 Georgia outright. Kentucky won at Oklahoma, and Arkansas won at Vanderbilt. Throw in the Vols, and that’s five underdogs I backed winning outright on one Saturday.

This week’s theme is simple. Last week lies. The market always overreacts to Saturday, and I’m betting it did again.

Read the full column at TriStar Daily

Five and a Fade, NFL Week 7: Joey Slye Owes Me Money

In the NFL, I went 2-4. I’d like to thank everyone who texted me about the NFL picks. Both of you. This week: Titans +1.5, 49ers -3, Chiefs +2.5, Vikings -6.5 and Broncos -4.5. The Fade: the crowd is betting Lamar Jackson doesn’t play. I’m taking Ravens +1.5.

Read the full column at Five and a Fade

This week’s Vols pick

Tennessee +2.5 at South Carolina (plus the Vols moneyline at +112)

The record

Vols against the spread: 3-1

College: 7-3 on the season, counting the Vols

NFL: 2-4

Every pick and every result

Worth your time

Knox News: Emmett Siegel’s South Carolina preview. He calls it a trap game and still takes the Vols 24-21. We like the winner; we’d just prefer a little more breathing room.

Rocky Top Insider: Q&A with a Gamecocks beat writer. Solid scouting from the other side of the fence. The LaNorris Sellers turnover talk is what we’ll be watching Saturday.

Rocky Top Insider: Jim Knowles named the SEC’s top coordinator. Hold Alabama to 10 at Neyland and the hardware tends to find you.

Rocky Top Insider: Weathersby and Ranvier pick up SEC weekly honors. The league noticed what the rest of us saw from the stands. About time.

Go Vols.

Jeremy

]]><![CDATA[Game day at Neyland: too many points]]>https://www.jeremy-durham.com/p/game-day-at-neyland-too-many-pointshttps://www.jeremy-durham.com/p/game-day-at-neyland-too-many-pointsFri, 16 Oct 2026 21:27:06 GMTLast week I said Tennessee would win in Fayetteville for the first time since 2001. It did. I also said the Vols would cover 13.5, and they won by seven. Lesson learned. This week I'm taking the points.

My full Alabama pick is up at TriStar Daily:

https://tristardaily.com/bama-week-part-2-too-many-points-at-neyland/

The short version: Alabama is coming to Neyland without Ryan Coleman-Williams, its best receiver, and probably without its starting center. If sophomore Mal Waldrep gets the call, his first career start at center comes in front of 101,915 people. Meanwhile, Xavier Gilliam has 10 tackles for loss through six games. A team that banged up shouldn't be laying more than a touchdown in Knoxville.

THE VOLS PICK

Tennessee +7.5. Alabama 24, Tennessee 21.

Season record against the spread: 2-1.

Kickoff: Saturday, 2:30 Central, ABC.

WHO'S WATCHING

This might be the biggest recruiting weekend of the year. Jermaine Cobbins from Springfield, the top junior in the state, and Battle Ground Academy's Maddox Porter, the No. 1 receiver in the country in the 2029 class, will both be in the stands. Beat Alabama in front of those two, and it pays off for years.

FIVE AND A FADE

The NFL picks are off to a good start. The Broncos beat Seattle 17-14 on Thursday night, so that's 1-0 with five to go this weekend. The college picks all play Saturday.

https://tristardaily.com/five-and-a-fade-nfl-week-6-bad-offenses-and-short-weeks/

WORTH YOUR TIME

CBS Sports likes Alabama to cover the 8.5. Here's the other side of my argument. CBS Sports pick

A to Z Sports on the problem Alabama is bringing into Neyland: nobody on its offense has played there, and its likely center hasn't taken a snap at the position this year. Read it

If you know a Vols fan who'd like this every Friday, forward it along.

Jeremy

]]><![CDATA[Bama week, and a new college picks column]]>https://www.jeremy-durham.com/p/bama-week-and-a-new-college-pickshttps://www.jeremy-durham.com/p/bama-week-and-a-new-college-picksWed, 14 Oct 2026 23:23:49 GMTThis Saturday, Tennessee and Alabama meet at Neyland 56 years to the day after the Vols shut out the Tide 24-0. It's the first time since then that both teams will wear their home colors. I'm not saying it's an omen. I'm just saying I noticed.

Part 1 of my Alabama week columns at TriStar Daily: https://tristardaily.com/orange-vs-crimson-56-years-to-the-day/

Thanks for reading! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.

I also started a new weekly college picks column, Five and a Fade: five games I like and one where the crowd is wrong. This week I'm taking the points almost everywhere, starting with Indiana at home against Ohio State: https://tristardaily.com/five-and-a-fade-college-edition-underdog-saturday/

More on the Vols this week. Vols ATS: 2-1.

Subscribe free: https://jeremydurham.substack.com/subscribe

Thanks for reading! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.

]]><![CDATA[Game day in Fayetteville (and the NLCS)]]>https://www.jeremy-durham.com/p/game-day-in-fayetteville-and-thehttps://www.jeremy-durham.com/p/game-day-in-fayetteville-and-theFri, 09 Oct 2026 16:44:45 GMTTwenty-five years. That's how long it's been since we left Razorback Stadium with a win, and tomorrow a kid from Brentwood Academy gets his first career start in that building. (No pressure, George.)

If you missed it Wednesday, the full case is in this week's column at TriStar Daily:

https://tristardaily.com/a-ba-kid-a-25-year-curse-and-a-teo-touchdown-line/

The short version: this team isn't built on its quarterback. It's built on a defense that leads the country in sacks and a running game that wears people out by the fourth quarter. Arkansas has been outscored 122-34 by the three real teams it's played. Laying two touchdowns on the road sounds crazy. It isn't.

THE VOLS PICK

Tennessee 38, Arkansas 10. Vols -13.5.

Season record against the spread: 2-0.

Kickoff: Saturday, 3:15 Central, SEC Network.

AND THEN THERE'S BASEBALL

New column today at TriStar: Dodgers vs. Brewers, Part II. The only two 100-win teams in baseball, meeting in the NLCS for the second year in a row. Milwaukee is better this time. It won't matter.

https://tristardaily.com/same-dodgers-same-brewers-same-ending/

Quick victory lap: I took the Dodgers over Atlanta in exactly four games at +270, and it cashed.

THE NLCS PICK

Dodgers -160. For the bigger payday, Dodgers in 6 at +400.

World Series: Dodgers. Three-peat.

Playoff record: 1-0.

Game 1: Sunday, 7 p.m. Central, FOX.

WORTH YOUR TIME

It's official-ish: multiple outlets confirmed MacIntyre gets the start. Somewhere a Brentwood Academy group chat is losing its mind.

https://fieldlevelmedia.com/ncaaf/reports-tennessee-to-start-qb-george-macintyre-vs-arkansas/

Vegas opened us as a big favorite and the number hasn't scared anybody off. Rocky Top Talk on why.

https://www.rockytoptalk.com/tennessee_volunteer_football/45367/tennessee-opens-as-big-favorite-over-arkansas-college-football-odds

Newsweek noticed the quarterback change too, which tells you how much the rest of the country is watching this one.

https://www.newsweek.com/sports/ncaa/tennessee-making-qb-change-before-road-sec-game-12532816

Alabama comes to Neyland next week. Let's handle Fayetteville first.

If you know a Vols fan (or a Dodgers fan, I won't judge) who'd like this every Friday, forward it along.

Jeremy

]]><![CDATA[Vols at Arkansas: the Brentwood kid, the 2001 curse and a two-touchdown line]]>https://www.jeremy-durham.com/p/vols-at-arkansas-the-brentwood-kidhttps://www.jeremy-durham.com/p/vols-at-arkansas-the-brentwood-kidFri, 09 Oct 2026 01:02:56 GMTTennessee hasn't won in Fayetteville since 2001, and this week a redshirt freshman from Brentwood Academy makes his first career start there. I like the Vols anyway, and I picked them to cover.

My full pick and the case behind it are in this week's column at TriStar Daily: https://tristardaily.com/a-ba-kid-a-25-year-curse-and-a-teo-touchdown-line/

I'm 2-0 against the spread so far. I'll post a quick line here every week after the column goes up. If you know a Vols fan, forward this along.

New Vols takes every week:

Subscribe free: https://jeremydurham.substack.com/subscribe

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